Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-08-03?

What happened

71% of the money backs Yes ($4,359), while 65% of the wallets bought No. 51 wallets took part.

Why this counts as a signal

The money share and the wallet-count share point at opposite sides, meaning a few large accounts disagree with many small ones. It is a record of that disagreement, not a recommendation.

An observation drawn from public on-chain data. Not betting advice.

Who is on this market

7 tracked traders hold a position here

• 0x16b2...aa5a431 · 60%No @0.71
• 0x0c3e...3c4c352 · 100%Yes @0.45
• 0x1d60...453d194 · 80%Yes @0.60
• 0x7ea5...de7b173 · 60%No @0.70
• 0xb809...200411 · 70%Yes @0.27

See all 7

The money backs Yes; most tracked traders are on No.