Money vs. CrowdSpreadunlMet the heavy threshold
Liechtenstein vs Lithuania
88%of money on Liechtenstein +1.5
Liechtenstein +1.5Lithuania −1.5
51ppgap between money and headcount
Average stake per wallet vs. the crowd 12.3×
What happened
88% of the money backs Liechtenstein +1.5, while 63% of the wallets bought Lithuania −1.5.
Why this counts as a signal
The money share and the wallet-count share point at opposite sides, meaning a few large accounts disagree with many small ones. It is a record of that disagreement, not a recommendation.
An observation drawn from public on-chain data. Not betting advice.
After the match
- Market settlement
- Lithuania
- Price when the signal fired
- 0.54
Earlier signals of this kind
- 2026-09-24 18:00
- 2026-09-24 16:35