Money vs. Crowdunl
Will France win on 2026-09-25?
61%of money on No
NoYes
54ppgap between money and headcount
Average stake per wallet vs. the crowd 19.5×
What happened
61% of the money backs No, while 92% of the wallets bought Yes.
Why this counts as a signal
The money share and the wallet-count share point at opposite sides, meaning a few large accounts disagree with many small ones. It is a record of that disagreement, not a recommendation.
An observation drawn from public on-chain data. Not betting advice.
Who is on this market
5 tracked traders hold a position here
- 0x8930...db729 · 56%Yes @0.70
- 0x0ff7...51315 · 80%Yes @0.69
- 0x606d...1aaf3 · 67%Yes @0.70
- 0x2045...c77c1 · 100%Yes @0.69
- 0xf68a...5b130 · —Yes @0.70
The money backs No; most tracked traders are on Yes.